It only took 20 years, but the Strategic Management Society now Believes the Lean Startup is a Strategy

I’ve always thought of myself as a practitioner. In the startups I was part of, the only “strategy” were my marketing tactics on how to make the VP of Sales the richest person in the company. After I retired, I created Customer Development and co-created the Lean Startup as a simple methodology which codified founders best practices – in a language and process that was easy to understand and implement. All from a practitioner’s point of view.

So you can imagine my surprise when I received the annual “Strategy Leadership Impact” Award from the Strategic Management Society (SMS). The SMS is the strategy field’s main professional society with over 3,100 members. They publish three academic journals; the Strategic Management Journal, Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, and Global Strategy Journal.

The award said, [Steve Blank] as the Father of Modern Entrepreneurship, changed how startups are built, how entrepreneurship is taught, how science is commercialized, and how companies and government innovate.

Here’s my acceptance speech.


Thank you for the Strategy Leadership Impact Award. As a practitioner standing in front of a room full of strategists, I’m humbled and honored.

George Bernard Shaw reminded us that Americans and British are “one people separated by a common language.” I’ve often felt the same way about the gap between practitioners and strategists.

The best analogy I can offer, is the time after a long plane flight to Sydney, I jumped into a taxi and as the taxi driver started talking I started panicking – wondering what language he was speaking, and how I was going to be able to communicate to him.

It took me almost till we got to the hotel to realize he was speaking in English.

That’s sometimes how it feels between those who do strategy and those who study it.

So today, I’d like to share with you how this practitioner accidently became a strategist and how that journey led to what we now call the Lean Startup.

It’s a story that begins, perhaps surprisingly with what I call the Secret History of Silicon Valley.

—-

Silicon Valley’s roots lie in solving urgent, high-uncertainty national-security problems during World War II and the Cold War with the Soviet Union.

During WW II, the United States mastered scale and exploitation—mass-producing ships, aircraft, and tanks through centralized coordination. Ford, GM, Dupont, GE and others became the “arsenals of democracy.” In less than 4 years the U.S. built 300,000 aircraft, 124,000 of all types of ships, 86,000 tanks.

But simultaneously we created something radically different, something no other nation did – we created the Office of Science and Research and Development – OSR&D. This was a decentralized network of university labs that worked on military problems that involved electronics, chemistry and physics. These labs solved problems where outcomes were unknown and time horizons uncertain—exactly the conditions that later came to define innovation under uncertainty.

These labs delivered radar, rockets, proximity fuses, penicillin, sulfa drugs, and for the first two years ran the U.S. nuclear weapons program.

In hindsight, way before we had the language, the U.S. was practicing dynamic capabilities: the capacity to sense, seize, and transform under extreme uncertainty. It was also an early case of organizational ambidexterity—balancing mass production with rapid exploration.

One branch of this Office of Science and Research and Development – focused on electronic warfare—became the true genesis of the Valley’s innovation model.

In 1943, U.S. bombers over Europe faced catastrophic losses—4–5% of planes were shot down every mission. The German’s had built a deadly effective radar-based air defense system. The U.S. responded by creating the Harvard Radio Research Lab, led by Stanford’s Fred Terman. The lab had nothing to do with Harvard, Radio or Research.

Its goal was to rapidly develop countermeasures: jammers, receivers, and radar intelligence.

In the span of three years, Terman’s lab created an entire electronic ecosystem to defeat the German air defense systems. By war’s end U.S. factories were running 24/7 mass producing tens of thousands of the most complicated electronics and microwave systems that went on every bomber over Europe and Japan.

These teams were interdisciplinary, field-connected, and operating in continuous learning cycles:

  • Scientists and engineers worked directly with pilots and operators—what we’d now call frontline customer immersion.
  • They built rapid prototypes—the Minimum Viable Products of their time.
  • They engaged in short feedback loops between lab and battlefield—what John Boyd would later formalize as the OODA loop.
  • They were, in essence, running a learning organization under fire—a live example of strategic adaptation and iterative sensemaking.

But what does this have to do with Silicon Valley?

When the war ended Terman came back to Stanford and became Dean of Engineering and institutionalized this model. He embedded government research into the university, recruited his wartime engineers as faculty, and redefined Stanford as an outward-facing institution.

While most universities pursued knowledge exploitation – publishing, teaching, and extending established disciplines, Terman at Stanford did something that few universities in the 1950’s, 60’s or 70’s were doing – he pursued knowledge exploration and recombination. Turning Stanford into an outward facing university – with a focus on commercializing their inventions.

  1. He reconfigured incentives — encouraging professors to consult and found companies, an unprecedented act of strategic boundary spanning
  2. He believed spinning out microwave and electronics companies from his engineering labs was good for the university and for the country.
  3. He embedded exploration in the curriculum — mixing physics, electronics, and systems engineering.
  4. Cultivating external linkages — he and his professors were on multiple advisory boards with the Department of Defense, intelligence agencies, and industry.

Terman’s policies as now Provost effectively turned Stanford into an early platform for innovation ecosystems—decades before the term existed.

The technology spinouts from Stanford and small business springing up nearby were by their very nature managing uncertainty, complexity, and unpredictability. These early Valley entrepreneurs weren’t “lone inventors”; they were learning organizations, long before that term existed. They were continuously testing, learning, and iterating based on real operational data and customer feedback rather than long static plans.

However, at the time there was no risk capital to guide them. They were undercapitalized small businesses chasing orders and trying to stay in business.

It wasn’t until the mid 1970’s when the “prudent man” rule was revised for pension funds, and Venture Capital began to be treated as an institutional asset class, that venture capital at scale became a business in Silicon Valley. This is the moment when finance replaced learning as the dominant logic.

For the next 25 years, Venture investors – most of them with MBAs or with backgrounds in finance, treated startups like smaller versions of large companies. None of them had worked on cold war projects nor were they familiar with the agile and customer centric models defense innovation organizations had built. No VC was thinking about whether lessons from corporate strategic management thinkers of the time could be used in startups. Instead, VCs imposed a waterfall mindset —business plans and execution of the strategy in the plan — the opposite of how the Valley first innovated. The earlier language of experimentation, iteration, and customer learning disappeared.


And now we come full circle – to the Lean Startup.

At the turn of the century after 21 years as a practitioner, and with a background working on cold war weapons systems, I retired from startups and had time to think.

The more I looked at the business I had been in, and the boards I was now sitting on, I realized a few things.

  1. No business plan survived first contact with customers.
  2. On day one all startups have is a series of untested hypotheses
    • Yet startups were executing rather than learning
  3. Our strategic language and tools—all designed for large firms—were useless in contexts of radical uncertainty.
  4. Startups that succeeded were the ones that learned from their customers and iterated on the plan. Those that didn’t, ended up selling off their furniture.
  5. Most importantly – as I started reading all the literature I found on innovation strategy, almost all of it was about corporate innovation.
    • We had almost a century of management tools and language to describe corporate strategy for both growth and innovation – yet there were no tools, language or methods for startups.
    • But it was worse. Because both practitioners and their investors weren’t strategists, we had been trapped in thinking that startups were smaller versions of large companies
    • When the reality was that at their core, large companies were executing known business models, but startups? Startups were searching for business models
    • This distinction between startup search and large company execution had never been clearly articulated.
  6. There was a mismatch between the reality and practice.
    • We needed to reframe entrepreneurship as a strategic process, not a financial one
  7. I realized that every startup believed their journey was unique, and thought they had to find their own path to profitability and scale.
  8. That was because we had no shared methodology, language or common tools. So I decided to build them.
    • The first was Customer Development – at its heart a very simple idea – there are no facts inside the building – so get outside.
    • Here we were reinventing what the best practices from the wartime military organizations, and from Lead User Research and Discovery Driven Planning – this time for startups
    • The goal is to test all the business model hypotheses – including the two most important – customer and value proposition – which we call product/ market fit.
  9. The next, Agile Engineering – a process to build products incrementally and iteratively – was a perfect match for customer development.
  10. And then finally, repurposing Alexander Osterwalder’s Business Model Canvas to map the hypotheses needed in commercialization of a technology

The sum of these tools – Customer Development, Agile Engineering and the Business Model Canvas – is the Lean Methodology.

What I had done is turn a craft into a discipline of strategic learning—a continuous loop of hypothesis testing, experimentation via minimum viable products, and adaptation via pivots.

Lean is a codified system for strategy formation under uncertainty.

Over the last two decades Lean has turned into the de facto standard for starting new ventures. The classes I created at Stanford were adopted by the National Science Foundation and the National Institutes of Health, to commercialize science in the U.S.

And while contemporary entrepreneurs didn’t know it they were adopting the continuous learning cycles that had fueled wartime innovation.

What comes next is going to be even more interesting.

We’re going to remember – for better or worse – 2025 as another inflection point.

AI in everything, synthetic biology, and capital at previously unimaginable scale, are collapsing the distance between exploration and exploitation.

The boundary between discovery, invention, and strategy is dissolving.

Given how fast things are changing I’m looking forward to seeing strategy itself become a dynamic capability—not a plan, but a process of learning faster than the environment changes.

I can’t wait to see what you all create next.

In closing, my work at Stanford was made possible by the unflinching support from Tom Byers, Kathy Eisenhardt and Riitta Katila in the Stanford Technology Ventures Program who let a practitioner into the building.

Thank you.

How to Sell to the Dept of War – The 2025 PEO Directory – Now with 500 more names

The October 2025 PEO Directory – Update 2.

The Department of War (DoW) is one of the world’s largest organizations.  If you’re a startup trying to figure out who to call on and how to navigate the system, it can be – to put it politely – challenging.Those inside the DoW have little perspective of how hard it is to understand what to an outsider looks like in an impenetrable, incredibly complex system.

Insiders know who to call, and prime contractors have teams of people following broad area announcements and contracts, but if you’re startup, you have none of those relationships. (And with the advent of Social Media even our adversaries have better knowledge.)

If we’re serious about building a next generation defense ecosystem (not just buying the next shiny object), then this is the directory the Department of War should be publishing.

Until then, here’s the second update to the Department of War PEO Directory.
500 new names/organizations in this DoW phonebook and startup Go-to-Market Strategy playbook.

(See Appendix H for a summary of the changes.)

Downloads of the Directory can be found here.

Sign up for timely updates here.

No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We’re Switching Off

Tons of words have been written about the Trump Administrations war on Science in Universities. But few people have asked what, exactly, is science? How does it work? Who are the scientists? What do they do? And more importantly, why should anyone (outside of universities) care?

(Unfortunately, you won’t see answers to these questions in the general press – it’s not clickbait enough. Nor will you read about it in the science journals– it’s not technical enough. You won’t hear a succinct description from any of the universities under fire, either – they’ve long lost the ability to connect the value of their work to the day-to-day life of the general public.)

In this post I’m going to describe how science works, how science and engineering have worked together to build innovative startups and companies in the U.S.—and why you should care.

(In a previous post I described how the U.S. built a science and technology ecosystem and why investment in science is directly correlated with a country’s national power. I suggest you read it first.)


How Science Works
I was older than I care to admit when I finally understood the difference between a scientist, an engineer, an entrepreneur and a venture capitalist; and the role that each played in the creation of advancements that made our economy thrive, our defense strong and America great.

Scientists
Scientists (sometimes called researchers) are the people who ask lots of questions about why and how things work. They don’t know the answers. Scientists are driven by curiosity, willing to make educated guesses (the fancy word is hypotheses) and run experiments to test their guesses. Most of the time their hypotheses are wrong. But every time they’re right they move the human race forward. We get new medicines, cures for diseases, new consumer goods, better and cheaper foods, etc.

Scientists tend to specialize in one area – biology, medical research, physics, agriculture, computer science, materials, math, etc. — although a few move between areas. The U.S. government has supported scientific research at scale (read billions of $s) since 1940.

Scientists tend to fall into two categories: Theorists and Experimentalists.

Theorists
Theorists develop mathematical models, abstract frameworks, and hypotheses for how the universe works. They don’t run experiments themselves—instead, they propose new ideas or principles, explain existing experimental results, predict phenomena that haven’t been observed yet. Theorists help define what reality might be.

Theorists can be found in different fields of science. For example:

Physics                    Quantum field theory, string theory, quantum mechanics
Biology                     Neuroscience and cognition, Systems Biology, gene regulation
Chemistry                Molecular dynamics, Quantum chemistry
Computer Science   Design algorithms, prove limits of computation
Economics               Build models of markets or decision-making
Mathematics            Causal inference, Bayesian networks, Deep Learning

The best-known 20th-century theorist was Albert Einstein. His tools were a chalkboard and his brain. in 1905 he wrote an equation E=MC2 which told the world that a small amount of mass can be converted into a tremendous amount of energy. When he wrote it down, it was just theory. Other theorists in the 1930s and ’40s took Einstein’s theory and provided the impetus for building the atomic bomb. (Leo Szilard conceived neutron chain reaction idea, Hans Bethe led the Theoretical Division at Los Alamos, Edward Teller developed hydrogen bomb theory.) Einstein’s theory was demonstrably proved correct over Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

Experimentalists
In addition to theorists, other scientists – called experimentalists – design and run experiments in a lab. The pictures you see of scientists in lab coats in front of microscopes, test tubes, particle accelerators or NASA spacecraft are likely experimentalists. They test hypotheses by developing and performing experiments. An example of this would be NASA’s James Webb telescope or the LIGO Gravitational-Wave Observatory experiment. (As we’ll see later, often it’s engineers who build the devices the experimentalists use.)

Some of these experimentalists focus on Basic Science, working to get knowledge for its own sake and understand fundamental principles of nature with no immediate practical use in mind.

Other experimentalists work in Applied Science, which uses the findings and theories derived from Basic Science to design, innovate, and improve products and processes.

Applied scientists solve practical problems oriented toward real-world applications. (Scientists at Los Alamos weretrying to understand the critical mass of U-235 (the minimum amount that would explode.) Basic science lays the groundwork for breakthroughs in applied science. For instance: Quantum mechanics (basic science) led to semiconductors which led to computers (applied science). Germ theory (basic science) led to antibiotics and vaccines (applied science). In the 20th century Applied scientists did not start the companies that make end products. Engineers and entrepreneurs did this. (In the 21st century more Applied Scientists, particularly in life sciences, have also spun out companies from their labs.)

Scientists


Where is Science in the U.S. Done?
America’s unique insight that has allowed it to dominate Science and invention, is that after WWII we gave Research and Development money to universities, rather than only funding government laboratories. No other country did this at scale.

Corporate Research Centers
In the 20th century, U.S. companies put their excess profits into corporate research labs. Basic research in the U.S. was done in at Dupont, Bell Labs, IBM, AT&T, Xerox, Kodak, GE, et al.

This changed in 1982, when the Securities and Exchange Commission ruled that it was legal for companies to buy their own stock (reducing the number of shares available to the public and inflating their stock price.) Very quickly Basic Science in corporate research all but disappeared. Companies focused on Applied Research to maximize shareholder value. In its place, Theory and Basic research is now done in research universities.

Research Universities
From the outside (or if you’re an undergraduate) universities look like a place where students take classes and get a degree. However, in a research university there is something equally important going on. Science faculty in these schools not only teach, but they are expected to produce new knowledge—through experiments, publications, patents, or creative work. Professors get grants and contracts from federal agencies (e.g., NSF, NIH, DoD), foundations, and industry. And the university builds Labs, centers, libraries, and advanced computing facilities that support these activities.

In the U.S. there are 542 research universities, ranked by the Carnegie Classification into three categories.

R1: 187 Universities – Very High Research Activity
Conduct extensive research and award many doctoral degrees.
Examples: Stanford, UC Berkeley, Harvard, MIT, Michigan, Texas A&M …

R2: 139 Universities – High Research Activity
Substantial but smaller research scale.
Examples: James Madison, Wake Forest, Hunter College, …

R3: 216 Research Colleges/Universities
Limited research focus; more teaching-oriented doctoral programs.
Smaller state universities

Why Universities Matter to Science
U.S. universities perform about 50% of all basic science research (physics, chemistry, biology, social sciences, etc.) because they are training grounds for graduate students and postdocs. Universities spend ~$109 billion a year on research. ~$60 billion of that $109 billion comes from the National Institutes for Health (NIH) for biomedical research, National Science Foundation (NSF) for basic science, Department of War (DoW), Department of Energy (DOE), for energy/physics/nuclear, DARPA, NASA. (Companies tend to invest in applied research and development, that leads directly to saleable products.)

Professors (especially in Science, Technology, Engineering and Math) run labs that function like mini startups. They ask research questions, then hire grad students, postdocs, and staff and write grant proposals to fund their work, often spending 30–50% of their time writing and managing grants. When they get a grant the lead researcher (typically a faculty member/head of the lab) is called the Principal Investigator (PI).

The Labs are both workplaces and classrooms. Graduate students and Postdocs do the day-to-day science work as part of their training (often for a Ph.D.). Postdocs are full-time researchers gaining further specialization. Undergraduates may also assist in research, especially at top-tier schools.

(Up until 2025, U.S. science was deeply international with ~40–50% of U.S. basic research done by foreign-born researchers (graduate students, postdocs, and faculty). Immigration and student visas were a critical part of American research capacity.)

The results of this research are shared with the agencies that funded it, published in journals, presented at conferences and often patented or spun off into startups via technology transfer offices. A lot of commercial tech—from Google search to CRISPR—started in university labs.

Universities support their science researchers with basic administrative staff (for compliance, purchasing, and safety) but uniquely in the U.S., by providing the best research facilities (labs, cleanrooms, telescopes), and core scientific services: DNA sequencing centers, electron microscopes, access to cloud, data analysis hubs, etc. These were the best in the world – until the sweeping cuts in 2025.

Engineers Build on the Work of Scientists
Engineers design and build things on top of the discoveries of scientists. For example, seven years after scientists split the atom, it took 10s of thousands of engineers to build an atomic bomb. From the outset, the engineers knew what they wanted to build because of the basic and applied scientific research that came before them.

Scientists Versus Engineers

Engineers create plans, use software to test their designs, then… cut sheet metal, build rocket engines, construct buildings and bridges, design chips, build equipment for experimentalists, design cars, etc.

As an example, at Nvidia their GPU chips are built in a chip factory (TSMC) using the Applied science done by companies like Applied Materials which in turn is based on Basic science of semiconductor researchers. And the massive data centers OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, et al that use Nvidia chips are being built by mechanical and other types of engineers.

My favorite example is that the reusable SpaceX rocket landings are made possible by the Applied Science research on Convex Optimization frameworks and algorithms by Steven Boyd of Stanford. And Boyd’s work was based on the Basic science mathematical field of convex analysis (SpaceX, NASA, JPL, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab all use variations of Convex Optimization for guidance, control, and landing.)

Startup Entrepreneurs Build Iteratively and Incrementally
Entrepreneurs build companies to bring new products to market. They hire engineers to build, test and refine products.

Engineers and entrepreneurs operate with very different mindsets, goals, and tolerances for risk and failure. (Many great entrepreneurs start as engineers e.g., Musk, Gates, Page/Brin). An engineer’s goal is to design and deliver a solution to a known problem with a given set of specifications.

In contrast, entrepreneurs start with a series of unknowns about who are the customers, what are the wanted product features, pricing, etc. They retire each of these risks by building an iterative series of minimum viable products to find product/market fit and customer adoption. They pivot their solution as needed when they discover their initial assumptions are incorrect. (Treating each business unknown as a hypothesis is the entrepreneurs’ version of the Scientific Method.)

Venture Capitalists Fund Entrepreneurs
Venture capitalists (VCs) are the people who fund entrepreneurs who work with engineers who build things that applied scientists have proven from basic researchers.

Unlike banks which will give out loans for projects that have known specifications and outcomes, VCs invest in a portfolio of much riskier investments. While banks make money on the interest they charge on each loan, VCs take part ownership (equity) in the companies they invest in. While most VC investments fail, the ones that succeed make up for that.

Most VCs are not scientists. Few are engineers, some have been entrepreneurs. The best VCs understand technical trends and their investments help shape the future. VCs do not invest in science/researchers. VCs want to minimize the risk of their investment, so they mostly want to take engineering and manufacturing risk, but less so on applied science risk and rarely on basic research risk. Hence the role of government and Universities.

VCs invest in projects that can take advantage of science and deliver products within the time horizon of their funds (3–7 years). Science often needs decades before a killer app is visible.

As the flow of science-based technologies dries up, the opportunities for U.S. venture capital based on deep tech will decline, with its future in countries that are investing in science – China or Europe.

Why Have Scientists? Why Not Just a Country of Engineers, Entrepreneurs and VCs (or AI)?
If you’ve read so far, you might be scratching your head and asking, “Why do we have scientists at all? Why pay for people to sit around and think? Why spend money on people who run experiments when most of those experiments fail? Can’t we replace them with AI?”

The output of this university-industry-government science partnership became the foundation of Silicon Valley, the aerospace sector, the biotechnology industry, Quantum and AI. These investments gave us rockets, cures for cancer, medical devices, the Internet, Chat GPT, AI and more.

Investment in science is directly correlated with national power. Weaken science, you weaken the long-term growth of the economy, and national defense.

Tech firms’ investments of $100s of billions in AI data centers is greater than the federal government’s R&D expenditures. But these investments are in engineering not in science. The goal of making scientists redundant using artificial general intelligence misses the point that AI will (and is) making scientists more productive – not replacing them.

Countries that neglect science become dependent on those that don’t. U.S. post-WWII dominance came from basic science investments (OSRD, NSF, NIH, DOE labs). After WWII ended, the UK slashed science investment which allowed the U.S. to commercialize the British inventions made during the war.

The Soviet Union’s collapse partly reflected failure to convert science into sustained innovation, during the same time that U.S. universities, startups and venture capital created Silicon Valley. Long-term military and economic advantage (nuclear weapons, GPS, AI) trace back to scientific research ecosystems.

Lessons Learned

  • Scientists come in two categories
    • Theorists and experimentalists
    • Two types of experimentalists; Basic science (learn new things) or applied science (practical applications of the science)
    • Scientists train talent, create patentable inventions and solutions for national defense
  • Engineers design and build things on top of the discoveries of scientists
  • Entrepreneurs test and push the boundaries of what products could be built
  • Venture Capital provides the money to startups
  • Scientists, engineers, entrepreneurs – these roles are complementary
    • Remove one and the system degrades
  • Science won’t stop
    • Cut U.S. funding, then science will happen in other countries that understand its relationship to making a nation great – like China.
    • National power is derived from investments in Science
    • Reducing investment in basic and applied science makes America weak

Appendix – How Does Science Work? – The Scientific Method
Whether you were a theorist or experimentalist, for the last 500 years the way to test science was by using the scientific method. This method starts by a scientist wondering and asking, “Here’s how I think this should work, let’s test the idea.”

The goal of the scientific method is to turn a guess (in science called a hypothesis) into actual evidence. Scientists do this by first designing an experiment to test their guess/hypothesis. They then run the experiment and collect and analyze the result and ask, “Did the result validate, invalidate the hypothesis? Or did it give us completely new ideas?” Scientists build instruments and run experiments not because of what they know, but because of what they don’t know.

These experiments can be simple ones costing thousands of dollars that can be run in a university biology lab while others may require billions of dollars to build a satellite, particle accelerator or telescope. (The U.S. took the lead in Science after WWII when the government realized that funding scientists was good for the American economy and defense.)

Good science is reproducible. Scientists just don’t publish their results, but they also publish the details of how they ran their experiment. That allows other scientists to run the same experiment and see if they get the same result for themselves. That makes the scientific method self-correcting (you or others can see mistakes).

One other benefit of the scientific method is that scientists (and the people who fund them) expect most of the experiments to fail, but the failures are part of learning and discovery. They teach us what works and what doesn’t. Failure in science testing unknowns means learning and discovery.